Blackburn – Birmingham PREDICTION (21.01.2017)

Blackburn

Goals

January 21, 2017 15:00 -

Birmingham

Goals

Our prediction: OVER 1.5 goals @ 1.78
Implied probability: 56.18%

• Standings
• H2H

English League Championship Standings

#	Team	Played	Points	Goals
1	Brighton	24	54	40 : 15
2	Newcastle	25	52	48 : 20
3	Reading	24	46	36 : 32
4	Huddersfield Town	25	46	30 : 28
5	Leeds	25	45	34 : 24
6	Sheffield Weds	25	42	28 : 24
7	Derby	25	40	24 : 18
8	Barnsley	25	38	43 : 37
9	Norwich	25	37	41 : 37
10	Fulham	24	36	41 : 30
11	Preston	25	36	33 : 32
12	Aston Villa	25	35	26 : 24
13	Birmingham	25	35	30 : 35
14	Brentford	25	33	32 : 31
15	Ipswich	25	31	25 : 29
16	Wolves	25	29	32 : 34
17	QPR	25	29	24 : 36
18	Bristol City	25	27	33 : 35
19	Cardiff	24	27	27 : 38
20	Nottingham F.	25	26	37 : 45
21	Burton	25	25	26 : 34
22	Blackburn	25	24	29 : 40
23	Wigan	25	19	20 : 31
24	Rotherham	25	13	25 : 55

Direct Matches: Blackburn - Birmingham
1st October 2016	English League Championship	Birmingham	Blackburn	1:0
8th March 2016	English League Championship	Blackburn	Birmingham	2:0
3rd November 2015	English League Championship	Birmingham	Blackburn	0:0
14th April 2015	English League Championship	Birmingham	Blackburn	2:2
21st October 2014	English League Championship	Blackburn	Birmingham	1:0
21st April 2014	English League Championship	Birmingham	Blackburn	2:4
29th December 2013	English League Championship	Blackburn	Birmingham	2:3
4th May 2013	English League Championship	Birmingham	Blackburn	1:1

Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City are playing at Ewood Park in a match for the 27th round of the Championship. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 games. In fact, the last time they met at this stadium was on 08-03-2016, in a match for the Championship, which ended Blackburn Rovers’ 2-0 win. The goals were scored by T. Watt (20 ‘) and D. Graham (23’) for Blackburn Rovers. In this meeting the home factor could play an important role, since Blackburn Rovers presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

The home team is currently in 22nd place with 24 points, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate game, won at home against Newcastle United by (1-0). At the last, he lost out against Ipswich Town by (3-2). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses as a visitor, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded; Against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 home games for the championship Blackburn Rovers has 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, which has earned him 15 points out of 30. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point as he has conceded goals in 8 of his last 10 games but his attack has regularly scored as he has scored in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 18 times and only managed 3 rounds.

Blackburn Rovers kicks off this game with a 3-2 defeat at Ipswich, putting an end to the two straight games without losing to the championship: Graham and Akpan. In this home match coach Owen Coyle should align the team in 4-4-2 benefiting possession of the ball and supported attacks, however, in some moments of the encounter must act directly on the counterattack. Striker Danny Graham is the star of Blackburn Rovers with 10 goals and 3 assists. It seems that the coach can not rely on Henley, Evans, Ward, Conway, Hoban, Emnes and Brown, players recovering from injury.

After 9 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 12th place, having won 36 points. In the last game, he drew 0-0 at Nottingham Forest, having lost at home in a game against Brentford for (1-3). This is a little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses as a visitor, with a total of 18 goals scored and 20 conceded; Against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with a total of 20 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last game they played, for the FA Cup, lost with Newcastle United away by (3-1). In the last 10 away games for the league Birmingham City has 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have 10 points out of 30. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 26 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 10 times and only got 1 turnaround.

Birmingham come to this game with a 3-1 home defeat by Newcastle in a match for the 3rd round of the FA Cup: Cotterill’s only team goal. In this out-of-doors encounter, Italian coach Gianfranco Zola is expected to keep the team 4-2-3-1 with Jutkiewicz the most offensive player: this player is Birmingham’s best finisher with 8 goals scored. It should be noted that Birmingham have two consecutive games without winning away from home. For this game are available Gleeson, Donaldson, Stewart and Wiggins, all by injury.

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