Napoli vs. Fiorentina PREDICTION&PREVIEW (24.01.2017)
Napoli
Fiorentina
Reason For Napoli vs. Fiorentina Betting Tips & Preview
Napoli and Fiorentina meet at Stadio San Paolo in a game for this stage of Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals). The history of direct matches played at this stage favors the home team, who in the last 4 games won 3 and lost 1. In fact, in the last match at this stage, for Serie A, 18-10-2015, Napoli won by (2-1). The goals of the game were scored by L. Insigne (46 ‘) and G. Higuain (75’) for Napoli and N. Kalinić (73 ‘) for Fiorentina. In this match the house factor could play a decisive role, as Fiorentina has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.
The home team arrives at this phase of Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals) after having eliminated Spezia after a 3-1 home win on the previous tie. This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses as a visitor, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded; Against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with 36 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last game he played for Serie A, he beat Milan by (1-2). In the last 10 home games, Napoli have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. The team conceded goals to 8 opponents in the last 10 games, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has scored regularly, as they have scored at least one goal in the last 10 games. In their home games there is a tendency for goals to be scored as 52 of their last 59 games have finished with over 1.5 goals and 41 in 59 with over 2.5 goals. There have been 1 period in the last 16 home matches for all competitions: they suffered 7 of their 19 goals in the minutes (76′-90 ‘).
The Naples squad starts for this match with a 1-2 win against AC Milan, registering their fourth consecutive win in official matches, including one for the Italian Cup: goals were scored by Insigne and Jose Callejon. In this game inside doors the commander Maurizio Sarri must maintain the 4-3-3 benefiting the possession of the ball and the organized attacks, especially, through the corridors. Dries Mertens is the great highlight of Naples with 12 goals and 5 assists. Analyzing the 10 previous games it is possible to notice that the home-owners present great offensive competence, since they scored on average 2.9 goals per game. For this game the coach can not count on Milik, injured, besides Ghoulam and Koulibaly, players that dispute the CAN.
The visiting team arrives at this phase of Coppa Italia (Quarter-Finals) after having eliminated Chievo with a 1-0 home win on the previous tie. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with a total of 27 goals scored and 24 conceded; Against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with a total of 24 goals scored and 13 conceded. The team arrives at this meeting after a win away with Chievo by (0-3). In the last 10 matches played for all competitions, Fiorentina won 6 and lost 4. The team conceded goals in 8 out of the last 10 matches, so their defense needs to improve, but their attack has been regular, Since he managed to make it 9 out of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he has never been able to get his mark back in the five games in which he suffered the first goal.
Like their opponent, Fiorentina reach this match with an away win over Chievo, 0-3: Cristian Tello, Babacar and Chiesa scored the winning goal. In this away game, coach Paulo Sousa should keep the team in 3-4-3 with Kalinic being responsible for tormenting his opponents’ defensive line: the Croatian is one of Fiorentina’s top scorers with 9 goals. It should be noted that visitors have some gaps in the most backward sector: in the last 10 games played averaged 1.5 goals per game. It seems that the visiting coach can count on the usual players at his disposal.
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