Derby vs. Leicester PREDICTION (27.01.2017)
Derby
Leicester
PREVIEW&TIPS FOR Derby vs. Leicester
Derby County and Leicester City face off in a game for this stage of the FA Cup (Heat 4). The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the visiting team, which has 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 games. The last direct confrontation between these two teams, on 10-01-2014, ended with the victory of Leicester City by (4-1). In this meeting the home factor could play an important role, since Leicester City presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
The home team arrives at this stage of the FA Cup (Round 4) after a 2-2 away win with West Bromwich Albion. This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses as a visitor, with 16 goals scored and 15 conceded; Against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with 16 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last game he played for Championship, he beat Reading at home (3-2). In the last 10 home games Derby County has 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. His attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he conceded the first goal 5 times but managed to get back to score 2. In the last 18 home games for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: he scored 8 of his 17 goals in the minutes (61′- 75 ‘); Suffered 5 of his 14 goals in the minutes (46′-60 ‘).
Derby enter into this motivated contest after a 3-2 home win against Reading: Bent, Ince and Hughes stamped their “triumphs” and allowed their team to score three points. The house group chooses to play a traditional 4-3-3, where the three most advanced players are Ince, Bent and Russell. For acting inside doors, it is predicted that the Derby will adopt a more offensive stance, aiming to score the first goal of the match.
The visiting team arrives at this stage of the FA Cup (4 th Elimination) after a win away (1-2) with Everton. This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses as a visitor; Against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. The team arrive at this meeting after a defeat away with Southampton by (3-0). In the last 10 matches played for all competitions, Leicester City have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5. The team has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games so there are defensive processes that need to be improved. This is a team that scored few times first and they only managed to open the scoring in 3 of their last 15 games, of those 3 reached the break in advantage in all and won in the late 90 ‘in all. In 15 games, he only got 1 turnaround in 11 games in which he suffered the first goal. There have been 1 period in the last 19 encounters played as a visitor for all competitions: he suffered 15 of his 39 goals in the minutes (31′-45 ‘).
Leicester enter into this unmotivated game after a 3-0 defeat on the road to Southampton. The English Vardy is the main reference of attack of the outsiders, being that its quality of clearing and finalization is enviable. It will not be surprising that Leicester opted to play a 4-4-2 tactical design to channel their offensive process through the central corridor.
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